{"id":3200,"date":"2023-09-26T21:38:51","date_gmt":"2023-09-26T21:38:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/?p=3200"},"modified":"2023-09-26T21:40:52","modified_gmt":"2023-09-26T21:40:52","slug":"combining-cyber-analysis-and-valuengine-model-forecasts-for-e-commerce-companies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/combining-cyber-analysis-and-valuengine-model-forecasts-for-e-commerce-companies\/","title":{"rendered":"Combining Cyber-analysis and ValuEngine Model Forecasts for e-Commerce Companies"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Analysis of the e-Commerce sector including SQ, LYFT, OSTK, VRSN, DOCU, IBUY.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The purchase of the remains of the bankrupt Bed Bath and Beyond franchise by Overstock.com epitomizes the continued demise of brick-and-mortar stores succumbing to the efficiencies of e-Commerce.\u00a0 It\u2019s a continuing rather than a new story but the trend seems inexorable.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This thought motivated me to contact Brand Loyalties.\u00a0 A few years ago, I surveyed alternative data sets for an article published in the Journal of Investing in 2019 called \u201cUsing Alternative Research Data in Real World Portfolios.\u201d\u00a0 The standout was Brand Loyalties, a 10+- year specialist in providing alternative-data-based signals to hedge funds and institutional investors.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Brand Loyalties produces data sets based upon luminosity (brightness) and relevance of daily website mentions of brands. The analytic techniques and exhaustively thorough mapping lexicon they have developed over the years were eye-opening to me during the research and analysis I performed for the 2019 article. The firm has also maintained live-on-website performance of many equally weighted thematic indices that have persistently outperformed the equivalent ETFs where such ETFs exist.\u00a0 Since inception and in most calendar years, the top performing index has been its e-Commerce index, a nice congruence with this week\u2019s subject.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h6 style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>All 5,000 stocks, 16 sector groups, 140 industries, and 500 ETFs have been updated.<\/b><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>Two week free trial:<\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/\"><b> www.ValuEngine.com<\/b><\/a><\/h6>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The stocks selected are:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Block, Inc.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (<\/span><b>SQ)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, together with its subsidiaries, creates tools that enables sellers to accept card payments and provides reporting and analytics, and next-day settlement. The company provides hardware products, including Square Register that combines its hardware, point-of-sale software, and payments technology; Square Terminal, a payments device and receipt printer to replace traditional keypad terminals, which accepts tap, dip, and swipe payments; Square Stand, which enables an iPad to be used as a payment terminal or full point of sale solution; and Square Reader for contactless and chips that accepts EMV chip cards and NFC payments, enabling acceptance through Apple Pay, Google Pay, and other mobile wallets. The company was formerly known as Square, Inc. and changed its name to Block, Inc. in December 2021. Block, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in San Francisco, California.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lyft, Inc.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (<\/span><b>LYFT) <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">operates a peer-to-peer marketplace for on-demand ridesharing in the United States and Canada. The company operates multimodal transportation networks that offer riders personalized and on-demand access to various mobility options. It provides Ridesharing Marketplace, which connects drivers with riders; Express Drive, a flexible car rentals program for drivers; Lyft Rentals that provides vehicles for long-distance trips; and a network of shared bikes and scooters in various cities to address the needs of riders for short trips. The company also integrates third-party public transit data into the Lyft app to offer riders various transportation options. In addition, it offers access to autonomous vehicles; centralized tools and enterprise transportation solutions, such as concierge transportation solutions for organizations; Lyft Pink subscription plans; Lyft Pass commuter programs; first-mile and last-mile services; and university safe rides programs. The company was formerly known as Zimride, Inc. and changed its name to Lyft, Inc. in April 2013. Lyft, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Overstock.com, Inc. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(<\/span><b>OSTK)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Overstock.com, Inc. operates as an online retailer in the United States. It offers furniture, d\u00e9cor, area rug, bedding and bath, home improvement, outdoor, and kitchen and dining items. The company provides its products and services through its internet websites comprising overstock.com, o.co, overstock.ca, and overstockgovernment.com. It also offers businesses advertising products and services on its website; Marketplace, a service that allows its partners to sell their products through third party sites; products to international customers using third party logistics providers; and Supplier Oasis, a single integration point through which its partners can manage their products, inventory, and sales channels, as well as obtain multi-channel fulfillment services through its distribution network. The company was formerly known as D2-Discounts Direct and changed its name to Overstock.com, Inc. in October 1999. Overstock.com, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Midvale, Utah.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Verisign, Inc. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(<\/span><b>VRSN<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">), together with its subsidiaries, provides domain name registry services and internet infrastructure that enables internet navigation for various recognized domain names worldwide. The company enables the security, stability, and resiliency of internet infrastructure and services, including providing root zone maintainer services, operating two of the 13 internet root servers; and offering registration services and authoritative resolution for the .com and .net domains, which supports global e-commerce. It also back-end systems for .cc, .gov, .edu, and .name domain names, as well as operates distributed servers, networking, security, and data integrity services. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DocuSign Inc. (<\/span><b>DOCU<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) provides electronic signature solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides DocuSign e-signature solution that enables sending and signing of agreements on various devices; Contract Lifecycle Management (CLM), which automates workflows across the entire agreement process; and Gen for Salesforce, which allows sales representatives to automatically generate agreements with a few clicks from within Salesforce. It also provides Identify, a signer-identification option for checking government-issued IDs; Standards-Based Signatures, which support signatures that involve digital certificates; and Monitor that uses advanced analytics to track DocuSign eSignature web, mobile, and API accounts. In addition, the company offers Rooms for Real Estate that provides a way for brokers and agents to manage the entire real estate transaction digitally; DocuSign Federal and DocuSign CLM are FedRAMP, an authorized version of DocuSign eSignature for U.S. federal government agencies; and life sciences modules that support compliance with the electronic signature practices. The company sells its products through direct and partner-assisted sales, and web-based self-service purchasing. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>Current ValuEngine reports on these stocks or ETFS can be viewed<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/rep\/mresearch_report\"><b> HERE<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now let\u2019s look at these stocks adding the ValuEngine lens. The following table presents a look at the data behind these stocks, including the ValuEngine Buy\/Hold\/Sell rating. The ValuEngine Rating is an overall assessment of a stock\u2019s relative attractiveness.\u00a0 It combines the following five factors:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">valuation<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">risk-return tradeoff<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">momentum<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">market capitalization<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">forecasted future returns<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Less than 3 percent of the stock universe receives the highest 5-engine rating (Strong Buy), while the lowest rating is a single engine (Strong Sell).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For an industry benchmark comparison, we include the Amplify Online Retail ETF (<\/span><b>IBUY<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">).\u00a0 IBUY offers straightforward and diversified equity exposure to global online retailers. The fund holds stock in firms with at least 70% of their revenues from online sales. Firms can be of any market cap subject to typical minimum size and liquidity constraints. US stocks receive a 75% minimum weight, foreign stocks receive the remainder. The equal weighting adds diversity and keeps giants like Amazon from dominating the basket, but also increases exposure to smaller and possibly more risky firms. Overall, IBUY\u2019s targeted online coverage and methodology should be evaluated for soundness and suitability before considering investment in this fund.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares S&amp;P 500 ETF (<\/span><b>IVV), <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a more efficient and less expensive ETF than <\/span><b>SPY<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and also represents the S&amp;P 500, is shown as a benchmark for the stocks\u2019 individual data points.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>Current ValuEngine reports on these stocks or ETFS can be viewed<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/rep\/mresearch_report\"><b> HERE<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b>Ticker<\/b><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b>SQ<\/b><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b>LYFT<\/b><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b>OSTK<\/b><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b>VRSN<\/b><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b>DOCU<\/b><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b><i>IBUY<\/i><\/b><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b><i>IVV<\/i><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Stock Name<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Block Inc<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lyft Inc<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Overstock.com<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Verisign Inc<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">DocuSign Inc<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amplify Online Retail ETF<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares S&amp;P 500 ETF<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Market Cap, (Bllns.)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">32.2<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.9<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20.7<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.9<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">59.4 (Avg.)\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">689.4 (Avg.)<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ValuEngine Rating<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>4<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>4<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">N\/A<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">VE Forecast 3-mo. Price Return<\/span><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><b>2.85%<\/b><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.49%<\/span><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-1.89%<\/span><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.16%<\/span><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.84%<\/span><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">N\/A<\/span><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.23%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">VE Forecast 1-yr. Price Return<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>12.15%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.30%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.34%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.59%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.12%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">N\/A<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.00%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last mo. Price Return<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-9.48%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-6.62%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-33.66%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.62%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-9.46%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>-0.99%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.38%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last 3 mo. Price Return<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>-20.18%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.92%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-10.09%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-10.68%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-19.03%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.77%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.87%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last 6 mo. Price Return<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>-28.68%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">25.47%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">12.32%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.60%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-22.28%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.04%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14.29%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Historic 1-Yr. Price Return<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-23.63%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>-33.61%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-26.84%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14.95%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-27.09%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.42%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14.02%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Historic 5-Yr Ann. Price Return<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-8.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-42.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>5.4%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-4.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.1%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Volatility<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">61.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">68.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">104.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>25.2%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">52.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">35.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">19.0%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sharpe Ratio<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.14<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.62<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.02<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>0.21<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.08<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.08<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.46<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Beta<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.41<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.71<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.99<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>0.95<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.98<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.57<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.00<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Undervaluation Percentile<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">80<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>47<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">P\/B Ratio<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>8.2<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">75.2<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.7<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.8<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20.5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.2<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.3<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">P\/E Ratio<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">140.0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1257.4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>29.2<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">119.9<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">32.4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">22.5<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">P\/S Ratio<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.6<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>1.0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.5<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14.2<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">16.8<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">PEG Ratio<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>0.1<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.8<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EPS Growth<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>181.3%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">62.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.6%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NA<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Div. Yield<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>0.30%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.48%<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>Current ValuEngine reports on these stocks or ETFS can be viewed<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/rep\/mresearch_report\"><b> HERE<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<p><b>Observations<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One potentially positive sign for these five new additions to the e-commerce portfolio shared with us from Brand Loyalties is that all are rated at least a <\/span><b>3 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Hold) by ValuEngine\u2019s predictive model.\u00a0 Better still, two of them, <\/span><b>SQ <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Block, Inc.) and <\/span><b>LYFT, <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">are rated 4 (Buy).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Among the two e-retailers garnering our Buy rating, <\/span><b>SQ <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">has the higher projected price appreciation according to VE\u2019s forecast model and a slightly less volatile history. Also, <\/span><b>SQ\u2019s <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">valuation ratios are not as inflated as those of <\/span><b>LYFT <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">although neither can be considered cheap. Please note that both are grossly overvalued according to ValuEngine\u2019s valuation model which works independently from the forecast model.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Among the three e-retailers rated hold, Verisign (<\/span><b>VRSN) <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">has the highest projected price appreciation for the next 3 months and 12 months.\u00a0 It also has been by far the most stable of the five stocks with the lowest volatility and Beta by a wide margin.\u00a0 It also has the most stable history for earnings growth and revenue growth.\u00a0 These characteristics might make it the best stock among the five to research independently as a potential long-term buy-and-hold stock as differentiated from a stock bought for highest potential one-year price gain.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\">In virtually the same business, DocuSign (<b>DOCU<\/b>) is an average 3-rated (Hold) stock but is inferior to Verisign in just about every category.\u00a0 I note its presence in the <b>Brand Loyalties <\/b>buy-signal list as verification that <b>VRSN <\/b>is in a sub industry with greater rising brand awareness than other e-commerce stocks.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\">I recommend extreme caution when considering Overstock.com (<b>OSTK<\/b>).\u00a0 It is not the same company that had been around for 15 years competing with Etsy and Wayfair.\u00a0 That founder had liquidated former inventories and left the firm leaving a holding company.\u00a0 That holding company just recently bought the majority of the Bed, Bath and Beyond assets from the brick-and-mortar company\u2019s liquidation as noted in the beginning of this article.\u00a0 Therefore, historical data is fairly irrelevant.\u00a0 The high web mention rate is probably more event-driven than driven by revenue-related luminosity.\u00a0 At best, I\u2019d rate this a wait-and-see.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\">Please note that the e-commerce industry itself does not lend itself to the interests of income investors.\u00a0 Most of the industry\u2019s stocks do not pay a dividend and that applies to the five stocks we just reviewed.\u00a0 With a paltry 0.3% dividend yield, the Amplify Online Retail ETF (<b>IBUY<\/b>), including these companies and many others with a large portion of their revenues from internet retail, reflects this fact.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\">Fee-conscious ETF investors should note that <b>IBUY<\/b> carries an 0.65% Expense Ratio which is on the very high end of an industry-indexed ETF.\u00a0 Its 5-plus year return series has also been consistently inferior to that of Brand Loyalties\u2019 i-Biz index as shown in this table.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2018<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2019<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2020<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2021<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2022<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2023 thru Sep 22 2023<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Past 5 Years (Annualized)<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Brand Loyalties i-Biz Index (<\/span><b>i-Biz)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>9.01%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-7.84%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>174.09%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>95.94%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-50.08%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>37.05%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>24.48%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amplify Online Retail ETF (<\/span><b>IBUY)\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-1.93%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.48%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">123.80%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-22.99%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-55.71%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">12.54%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.98%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares S&amp;P 500 ETF<\/span><b> (IVV)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-4.47%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>31.25%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">18.40%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">28.76%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>-18.16%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.50%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.76%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul>\n<li>It should be noted that index-based ETFs can sometimes underperform their indexes due to implementation shortfall. That said, <b>IBUY<\/b>\u2019s substantial underperformance of <b>i-Biz<\/b> and <b>IVV<\/b> may make it difficult to justify its high fee to potential investors.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The good news for active managers and alpha-seekers is it appears through the <\/span><b>i-Biz<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> example that the potential for excess returns through an alpha strategy using derived signals is higher in this industry than in most others characterized by larger, more mature and more widely followed companies.\u00a0 Please note that the average market cap of the companies selected was about 15 Billion and the same stat for <\/span><b>IBUY <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is a mere $30 Billion as compared with nearly 700 Billion for <\/span><b>IVV.\u00a0<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>Financial Advisory Services based on ValuEngine research available:\u00a0 <\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuenginecapital.com\/\"><b>www.ValuEngineCapital.com<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<p><b>Conclusion<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The e-commerce industry is characterized by small companies with just-burgeoning revenue streams and many just entering the positive earnings stage.\u00a0 As such, it has higher-than-average returns for gains.\u00a0 Two such stocks are Block Inc. <\/span><b>(SQ)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and Lyft Inc. <\/span><b>(LYFT)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> with the edge going to <\/span><b>SQ.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0 Those researching the sector for investment, however, should be aware that the prices of most of its companies are highly volatile and the majority do not pay dividends.\u00a0 Therefore, the industry, especially if restricted to companies that get the majority of their revenues from online, is less suitable for conservative investors.\u00a0 A possible exception might be Verisign (<\/span><b>VRSN<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) which has more stable price and fundamental characteristics than the other companies analyzed here. As always it is important to do one\u2019s own research.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">_______________________________________________________________<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>By Herbert Blank<\/b><\/h5>\n<h5><b>Senior Quantitative Analyst, ValuEngine Inc<\/b><\/h5>\n<h5><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/\"><b>www.ValuEngine.com<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<h5><b>support@ValuEngine.com<\/b><\/h5>\n<h5><b>All of the approximately 5,000 stocks, 16 sector groups, 140 industries, and 600 ETFs have been updated on<\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/\"><b> www.ValuEngine.com<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<h5><b>Financial Advisory Services based on ValuEngine research available through<\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuenginecapital.com\/\"><b> ValuEngine Capital Management, LLC<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<h5><b>Free Two Week Trial to all 5,000 plus equities covered by ValuEngine<\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/pub\/VeSubscribeInfo?pid=1\"><b> HERE<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<p><b>Subscribers log in<\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/ve\/mainve?pid=1\"> <b>HERE<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysis of the e-Commerce sector including SQ, LYFT, OSTK, VRSN, DOCU, IBUY. The purchase of the remains of the bankrupt Bed Bath and Beyond franchise by Overstock.com epitomizes the continued demise of brick-and-mortar stores succumbing to the efficiencies of e-Commerce.\u00a0 It\u2019s a continuing rather than a new story but the trend seems inexorable.\u00a0\u00a0 This thought &#8230; <a title=\"Combining Cyber-analysis and ValuEngine Model Forecasts for e-Commerce Companies\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/combining-cyber-analysis-and-valuengine-model-forecasts-for-e-commerce-companies\/\" aria-label=\"More on Combining Cyber-analysis and ValuEngine Model Forecasts for e-Commerce Companies\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4,130,39],"tags":[2275,2272,2270,2274,2265,2266,1731,2271,1793,1770,2268,822,2273,1510,2267,1080,1699,1656,1659,2269],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3200"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3200"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3200\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3204,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3200\/revisions\/3204"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3200"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3200"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3200"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}