{"id":3614,"date":"2025-10-17T17:42:19","date_gmt":"2025-10-17T17:42:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/?p=3614"},"modified":"2025-10-17T17:42:42","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T17:42:42","slug":"2025-3q-review-bears-capture-headlines-while-bulls-and-gold-bugs-garner-profits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/2025-3q-review-bears-capture-headlines-while-bulls-and-gold-bugs-garner-profits\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 3Q Review: Bears Capture Headlines While Bulls and Gold Bugs Garner Profits"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Strategists, economists, and all manners of pundits have been somberly telling us since January why market euphoria is misplaced.\u00a0 There has been no shortage of rationales for their bearish forecasts.\u00a0 Tariffs, systemic instability, recession, inflation, ridiculously unprecedented valuations and more have explained why a major correction or potential crash has been inevitable this year.\u00a0 Their conclusions were that it was time to pare down on positions in \u201crisky assets\u201d such as equities and precious metals.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All research 5,000+ stocks and 700+ ETFs updated on <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">www.ValuEngine.com<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The table below including data for 11 asset class benchmark ETFs illustrates that investors ignoring this advice performed quite well in the three periods analyzed in this blog: one-month, three months, and year-to-date ending September 30, 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Ticker\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>ETF Name<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>YTD Price Change\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>(as of Sept. 30, 2025)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>3rd Quarter\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Return (Aug29\u2013<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Sept30)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">YTD Rank<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>GLDM<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>47.05%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>16.68%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>9.00%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>1<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>EEM<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27.69%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.70%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.70%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>EFA<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares MSCI EAFE ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">23.49%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.45%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.50%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>QQQM<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17.42%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.82%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.50%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>VUG<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vanguard Growth ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17.26%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">9.40%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.71%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>VPU<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vanguard Utilities ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.90%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.31%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>SPLG<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SPDR Portfolio S&amp;P 500 ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.64%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.77%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.64%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>VTV<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vanguard Value ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.15%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.52%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.33%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>IWM<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares Russell 2000 Small Cap ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">9.50%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">12.13%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.60%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">9<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>AGG<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.13%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.04%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.11%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>MDY<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SPDR S&amp;P MidCap 400 ETF Trust<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.55%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.22%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.30%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current ValuEngine reports on all covered stocks and ETFS can be viewed<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/valuengine.com\/dashboard\/report\"> <b>HERE<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Followers of this blog who read the last article know that gold has been on an unprecedented streak this quarter-century thus far.\u00a0 The spot price of gold has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 Index for the period beginning January 1, 2000 through September 30 of this year, for the 2020\u2019s, and year-to-date.\u00a0 The year-to-date rise of 47%\u00a0 easily tops our list of year-to-date price gains.\u00a0 For reasons explained in our last blog article, there are many reasons behind the surges. The bottom line is that I don\u2019t see the rationales for these surges reversing merely because of valuation.\u00a0 <\/span><b>GLDM <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is our choice here among the exchange-traded \u201cETFs,\u201d actually grantor trusts, which hold gold. For most investors, it makes little sense to pay more than 4 times the expense ratio for <\/span><b>GLDM <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to garner precisely the same exposure to gold bars.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Beyond gold, a number of strategic experts, notably Van Eck and Sprott, have discussed a de-dollarization theme underlying investment rotations, especially by many of the largest European institutional investors.\u00a0 This explains the next highest performers on the highest gainers\u2019 list.\u00a0 The two ETFs are<\/span><b> EEM, <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">and <\/span><b>EFA<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For US-only equity ETFs, growth has generally outperformed value in defiance of strategists\u2019 predictions of a rotation.\u00a0 This is why the highly correlated Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF, <\/span><b>QQQM <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(lower fee than <\/span><b>QQQ <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trust) and the Vanguard Growth ETF (<\/span><b>VUG<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) led the way in this category with 17.5% and 17.3% returns, respectively.\u00a0 Both topped the SPDR Portfolio S&amp;P 500 Index ETF, <\/span><b>SPLG<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> as the established benchmark index gained 13.6%. \u00a0 In contrast, the Vanguard Value ETF, <\/span><b>VTV<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, gained just 10.2% with similar lags in the 3<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">rd<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> quarter and in September.\u00a0 Although small caps spent the first quarter of the year in negative territory, standard-bearer, <\/span><b>IWM, <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">iShares Russell 2000 Small Cap ETF, rebounded sharply in the 3<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">rd<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> quarter with its 12.1% gain, leading the way among equity ETFs.\u00a0 Even with that lift, <\/span><b>IWM<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2019s 9.5% year-to-date return\u00a0 finished even below value as represented by <\/span><b>VTV.\u00a0 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">By far the laggard in almost every time period was <\/span><b>MDY<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the S&amp;P MidCap 400 ETF.\u00a0 Its 5.5% year-to-date return placed it even below US aggregated bonds.\u00a0 The latter, represented by <\/span><b>AGG<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF, posted a 6.1% return for the period.\u00a0 MidCap stocks have become an unhappy medium in recent years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The other ETF placed here as an asset class benchmark would normally be considered a sector benchmark.\u00a0 However, our contention is that utilities, long considered a value sector valued only for high dividend yields and price stability, have been transformed into a hybrid growth and value sector as earnings growth has been competitive with other sectors in recent years and with technological changes. This is expected to continue.\u00a0 We used <\/span><b>VPU<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, Vanguard\u2019s Utilities ETF, as its representative.\u00a0 The ETF outgained <\/span><b>SPLG<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 15.9% to 13.6%, with more than double the dividend yield.\u00a0 This has been a comparative trend throughout the decade.\u00a0 Conservative investors may wish to consider a separate equity allocation to <\/span><b>VPU <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">for the remainder of this decade.\u00a0 We observe that this may constitute a paradigm shift.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In terms of ValuEngine\u2019s predictive model, we rate seven of the above ETFs, the ones covering US stocks.\u00a0 Generally, our forecasts for the next 1-to-12 months are in line with the recent year-to-date trends we just observed.\u00a0 Top-rated at <\/span><b>5 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Strong Buy) is <\/span><b>VUG<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, Vanguard Growth ETF, with <\/span><b>QQQM <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">right behind it at <\/span><b>4 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Buy).\u00a0 As a bell curve is behind most of our ratings, it is no surprise that most of these ETFs are rated <\/span><b>3 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Hold).\u00a0 That includes: <\/span><b>SPLG<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, <\/span><b>VPU, VTV <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">and <\/span><b>IWM.\u00a0 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We see no upswing ahead for laggard <\/span><b>MDY.\u00a0 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The SPDR MidCap Index ETF gets our only poor rating, <\/span><b>2 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Sell).\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was a similar story for US Sector Index ETFs using State Street\u2019s Select Sector SPDRs representing sectors composed exclusively of S&amp;P 500 Index member stocks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current ValuEngine reports on all covered stocks and ETFS can be viewed<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/valuengine.com\/dashboard\/report\"> <b>HERE<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ticker<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Name<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">VE Rating<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1 Month Chg. %<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">YTD Chg. %<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5 Year Returns<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Div. Yield %<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rank<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLC<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>5<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.63%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>23.36%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.90%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>1<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLK<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>5<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>7.53%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">21.79%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>20.44%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>2<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLI<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.88%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">18.25%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">16.64%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>3<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLU<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.12%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17.63%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.55%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>4<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.10%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">12.61%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">19.89%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.4%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>5<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLB<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.42%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.07%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">9.45%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.9%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>6<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLY<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.59%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.53%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.34%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>7<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLE<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.32%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6.87%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">29.27%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>3.2%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>8<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLV<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.73%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.50%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.74%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.8%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>9<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">XLP<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-2.32%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.60%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.14%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>10<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The two top sectors in terms of year-to-date performance are also the two most highly ranked sectors by ValuEngine\u2019s forecast model.\u00a0 Communications, led by Meta (<\/span><b>META<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">), Alphabet (<\/span><b>GOOGL<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) and Netflix (<\/span><b>NFLX<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) has our highest rating of <\/span><b>5<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Strong Buy).\u00a0 At this time, our forecast model sees current trends continuing to be investors\u2019 friends.\u00a0 The Technology ETF (<\/span><b>XLK<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) is just second in the year-to-date category and is also rated <\/span><b>5 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(strong buy) by ValuEngine.<\/span><b>\u00a0 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The only other sector ETF rated a buy by the ValuEngine models is <\/span><b>XLF,<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> with a ranking of 4 (buy).\u00a0 Three sector ETFs are rated <\/span><b>1 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Strong Sell) representing Materials, Energy and Health Care, respectively.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Using ETFdb.com from VettaFi also allows us to look at the top performing Smart Beta ETFs and the top performing actively managed ETFs.\u00a0 When we profile such ETFs here, we prefer to omit ETFs with less than $50 million in assets along with leveraged and inverse ETFs as that may distort results.\u00a0 Smart Beta\u2019s are built with a particular time-tested strategy as the basis for investment.\u00a0 Therefore, this look can validate which strategies have been working year-to-date.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current ValuEngine reports on all covered stocks and ETFS can be viewed<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/valuengine.com\/dashboard\/report\"> <b>HERE<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ticker<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Name<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1 Month Returns<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">YTD Price Change<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5 Year Returns<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Div. Yield %<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SGDJ<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>24.48%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>115.83%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.61%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GOAU<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">US Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20.50%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">112.33%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.05%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AFK<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">VanEck Africa Index ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.72%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">57.53%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10.01%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FGM<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.63%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">54.17%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.73%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FDD<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First Trust STOXX European Select Dividend Index Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.17%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">48.56%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">16.00%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>5.1%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FEUZ<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First Trust Eurozone AlphaDEX ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.69%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">48.47%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.13%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FCA<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.50%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">48.10%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7.44%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.2%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FEP<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First Trust Europe AlphaDEX Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.52%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">46.75%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.14%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GVAL<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cambria Global Value ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.09%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">43.57%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>16.50%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FDT<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First Trust Developed Markets ex-US AlphaDEX Fund<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.99%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">42.40%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">12.41%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">KGRN<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">KraneShares MSCI China Clean Technology Index ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.07%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">41.95%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.99%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current ValuEngine reports on all covered stocks and ETFS can be viewed<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/valuengine.com\/dashboard\/report\"> <b>HERE<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The central themes of gold\u2019s strength and global de-dollarization are present throughout this top 10 list of qualifying Smart Beta ETFs.\u00a0 Sprott Junior Gold Miners (<\/span><b>SGDJ<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">) uses three smart beta factors to select which Junior Gold Miner stocks to include.\u00a0 The others also take fundamental factors into account.\u00a0 One surprise to us on this list is <\/span><b>GVAL, <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cambria Global Value ETF, which selects global value stocks based upon fundamental factors.\u00a0 Its methodology was so in favor that even though value stocks generally underperformed growth stocks, this price-sensitive fund with value as part of its objective managed to make it into the top 10.\u00a0 Among the top 10 year-to-date, it also has the best 5-year annualized return.\u00a0 For those considering a combination of smart beta and de-dollarization, a fund this resilient in multiple environments might be worthy of further investigation.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finally, a quick look at actively managed ETFs looking for the same criteria\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ticker<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Name<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1 Month Returns<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">YTD Price Change<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5 Year Returns<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Div. Yield<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARKW<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.16%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>59.92%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">11.28%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BLOK<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amplify Transformational Data Sharing ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>16.83%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">55.43%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><b>28.22%<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>3.9%<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARKF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARK Fintech Innovation ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">9.22%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">54.36%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.56%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARKK<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARK Innovation ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.21%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">49.18%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">-0.70%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GVAL<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cambria Global Value ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.83%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">44.11%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">16.16%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARKQ<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ARK Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15.54%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">42.63%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">14.70%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0.0%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BATT<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amplify Lithium &amp; Battery Technology ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">16.54%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">40.11%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5.51%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AVDV<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.82%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">38.53%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17.17%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.5%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">IMOM<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Alpha Architect International Quantitative Momentum ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.21%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">35.40%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8.07%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3.3%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">UTES<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Virtus Reaves Utilities ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4.90%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">31.36%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20.18%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.1%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AVDE<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Avantis International Equity ETF<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.57%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">30.53%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">13.08%<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2.7%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current ValuEngine reports on all covered stocks and ETFS can be viewed<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/valuengine.com\/dashboard\/report\"> <b>HERE<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We were a bit surprised that the top of this list was dominated by ETFs managed by ARK Asset Management, taking four of the first 6 slots for year-to-date performance.\u00a0 In the latter part of the past decade, ARK ETFs helped legitimize the actively managed ETF category within the industry with excellent returns in several consecutive years, attracting a formidable level of assets for a fledgling asset manager.\u00a0 They did this through concentrated research into the companies that make and efficiently use technology innovations.\u00a0 Unfortunately, that also made ARK a target for critics who were delighted when many of these ETFs underperformed in the early part of this decade. Therefore, this return to performance leadership is a welcome rebound.\u00a0 For the most part, other than their Genome ETF, the ARK family performed quite well last year and is thriving even more thus far this year.\u00a0 <\/span><b>ARKW<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the ARK next generation ETF, led the way with 59.9%.\u00a0 The other three are <\/span><b>ARKF<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, <\/span><b>ARKK<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><b>ARKQ.\u00a0 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Other sponsors with two or more actively managed ETFs include Amplify with Amplify Transformational Data Sharing ETF.\u00a0 Also noteworthy, the aforementioned <\/span><b>GVAL<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is also on this list.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current ValuEngine reports on all covered stocks and ETFS can be viewed<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/valuengine.com\/dashboard\/report\"> <b>HERE<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s take a look inside a select few of these ETFs for highly ranked stocks.\u00a0 There are several stocks in the top 10 holdings of some of these ETFs worth mentioning.\u00a0 For example, in <\/span><b>ARKW<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> we rate <\/span><b>SHOP<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Shopify), a Canadian e-retailer, and <\/span><b>NTLA <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Intellia Therapeutics) with the top rating of <\/span><b>5 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Strong Buy). <\/span><b>NTLA <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is a leading genome editing company. \u00a0 The largest holding in <\/span><b>BLOK (<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Amplify Transformational Data Sharing ETF) is Cipher Mining, (<\/span><b>CIFR<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">).<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CIFR is an industrial scale bitcoin mining company rated <\/span><b>4 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Buy) by the ValuEngine models.\u00a0 It should be noted that <\/span><b>BLOK <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">has the highest 5-year return of any ETF on this list.\u00a0 A personal favorite of mine that has been on this list a long time is <\/span><b>UTES, <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the Virtus Reaves Utilities ETF, the first US active ETF to focus on utilities.\u00a0 Far ahead of the curve of competitive earnings growth for utilities, this actively managed ETF focuses on capital appreciation rather than income. Its top holding is <\/span><b>VST<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Vistra Corp.), which is currently rated <\/span><b>4 <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(Buy).\u00a0 As a result of its focus on growth rather than value in the utilities sector, <\/span><b>UTES <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">has enjoyed a 31.3% increase this year, about double that of <\/span><b>VPU <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">which we use to monitor the utilities sector. <\/span><b>UTES <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">also has the second highest 5-year annualized gain on our list.\u00a0 ValuEngine reports are available for all of these stocks along with almost all of these year-to-date top-performing ETFs.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>Financial Advisory Services based on ValuEngine\u2019s research models: <\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuenginecapital.com\/\"><b>www.ValuEngineCapital.com<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wrapping up this third quarter wrap-up, it has obviously been a very strong year thus far for almost every asset class category as measured by indexed ETFs.\u00a0 Beyond that, many smart beta strategy and actively managed ETFs have also had strong years, especially if they were more focused on growth and capital appreciation than traditional value metrics and dividend yield.\u00a0 As documented, the great rotation into value and smaller stocks many were expecting has not happened yet in 2025.\u00a0 Despite all this documentation on how well many equity ETFs have performed this year, only a very select few have managed to surpass the 47% posted year-to-date by gold as represented by <\/span><b>GLDM<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0 It is fascinating to see all this global equity bullishness alongside the continued new highs made by gold, attributed to lack of confidence in fiat currencies and potential systemic risk.\u00a0 For the next three-to-six months our models are bullish on growth stocks and the major cap-weighted index ETFs even though our valuation model rates more than 60% of the stocks we cover as overvalued.\u00a0 Since the trend is our friend until we see signs of reversal, staying on course with current asset class allocations may be the wisest thing to do for now.\u00a0 It appears that the inevitable correction, or worse, may be delayed until some time in 2026.\u00a0 No one actually knows, but that is our best forecast at this time given our quantitative models and available information.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">_____________________________________________________________________<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><b>By Herbert Blank<\/b><\/h5>\n<h5><b>Senior Quantitative Analyst, ValuEngine Inc ( <\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/\"><b>www.ValuEngine.com<\/b><\/a><b> )<\/b><\/h5>\n<h5><b>support@ValuEngine.com \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 (321) 325-0519<\/b><\/h5>\n<h5><b>All of the over 4,200 stocks, 15 sector groups, over 250 industries, and 700 ETFs have been updated on<\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuengine.com\/\"><b> www.ValuEngine.com<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<h5><b>Financial Advisory Services based on ValuEngine research available through<\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/www.valuenginecapital.com\/\"><b> ValuEngine Capital Management, LLC<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<h5><b>FREE Two-Week Trial to all 6,000 plus equities and ETFs covered by ValuEngine<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/ww2.valuengine.com\/products-and-pricing\/\"><b> HERE<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<h5><b>Subscribers log in <\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/valuengine.com\/dashboard\/login\"><b>HERE<\/b><\/a><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Strategists, economists, and all manners of pundits have been somberly telling us since January why market euphoria is misplaced.\u00a0 There has been no shortage of rationales for their bearish forecasts.\u00a0 Tariffs, systemic instability, recession, inflation, ridiculously unprecedented valuations and more have explained why a major correction or potential crash has been inevitable this year.\u00a0 Their &#8230; <a title=\"2025 3Q Review: Bears Capture Headlines While Bulls and Gold Bugs Garner Profits\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/2025-3q-review-bears-capture-headlines-while-bulls-and-gold-bugs-garner-profits\/\" aria-label=\"More on 2025 3Q Review: Bears Capture Headlines While Bulls and Gold Bugs Garner Profits\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[130,1,39],"tags":[1986,2738,1939,2748,2145,1716,2752,2750,2749,2747,2754,2755,2720,2719,1760,1761,1719,2742,2740,2745,2743,2741,2739,1776,2737,2644,2744,1731,2751,1834,2746,1833,2643,2657,2753,2006,1510,1713,2736,2416,2290,2078,2757,1699,1687,1935,28,1659,2406,2756,2462,2403,2121,2085,2277,1849,2279,1887,1814,1900,2276,2278],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3614"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3614"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3614\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3615,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3614\/revisions\/3615"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}