{"id":3668,"date":"2025-11-18T04:59:14","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T04:59:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/?p=3668"},"modified":"2025-11-18T05:06:05","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T05:06:05","slug":"11-17-2025-valuengine-weekly-market-summary-commentary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/11-17-2025-valuengine-weekly-market-summary-commentary\/","title":{"rendered":"11\/17\/2025 ValuEngine Weekly Market Summary & Commentary"},"content":{"rendered":"

Weekly Market Recap – Week Ending November 14, 2025<\/strong><\/h3>\n
The past week saw a clear defensive tilt across major ETFs, with only a handful of pockets showing resilience. Utilities, consumer staples, and select dividend strategies managed modest gains, while growth-heavy benchmarks such as QQQM<\/strong> and technology-sector ETFs slipped more than 2%. At the individual-stock level, several names continued strong 30-day momentum, although the broader tone across equities leaned cautious. This mix of selective strength and broad weakness underscores the market\u2019s ongoing search for stability as investors reassess risk heading into late November.<\/div>\n

<\/h3>\n
\n

Free Trial: Research on over 5,000 stocks and 700 ETFs HERE<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

In the below table we use major ETF\u2019s as a proxy for some major indexes as well as each of the sector groups into which we divide the overall markets. Tracking these over time provides a more defined picture of the US markets than simply tracking major indexes.<\/div>\n

<\/h3>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Financial Advisory Services based on ValuEngine research available through\u00a0www.ValuEngineCapital.com<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Strategy Note<\/strong><\/h3>\n
\n

Thus far, turning the calendar to November has inverted the order of most market benchmark index ETFs we follow here. As abruptly as flipping a light switch, the market has shifted from a \u201crisk-on\u201d to \u201crisk-off\u201d environment. Small-cap stocks, represented by IWM<\/strong> (the iShares Russell 2000 Small Cap ETF), have plummeted more than 3.5% month-to-date, leading the decline. In contrast, the State Street\u00ae SPDR\u00ae Portfolio S&P 500\u00ae ETF (SPYM<\/strong>) regained only a tiny fraction of last week\u2019s losses and remains down 1.5% for the month, while the Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF QQQM<\/strong> is still down 3.2%.<\/p>\n

One notable reversal this month is that the Vanguard Value ETF VTV<\/strong> is up 0.75% while its growth counterpart VUG<\/strong> is down 3.1%. Driven partly by weakness in the U.S. dollar, developed foreign markets have also shown relative strength, with EFA<\/strong> (iShares MSCI EAFE Index ETF) up 0.8% so far in November. After two shaky weeks to end October, gold has reasserted itself as a store of value\u2014GLDM<\/strong> (SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust) is up 2.0% month-to-date. Among non-stock \u201cETFs\u201d\u2014more precisely, exchange-traded grantor trusts\u2014the biggest story is the sudden bear market in Bitcoin. IBIT<\/strong> (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF) has fallen more than 14% this month and more than 20% since its mid-October all-time high. Beyond the time-honored advice not to catch falling knives, there is little guidance on how much further Bitcoin may fall.<\/p>\n

Turning to recent stock movements and major strategist recommendations, we can observe signs of a potential growth-to-value regime shift in U.S. equities. VTV<\/strong> in particular has spent the past four weeks improving in relative strength, while VUG<\/strong>\u2014one of the strongest performers in the year\u2019s first eight months\u2014has weakened meaningfully. Inside VTV<\/strong>, the largest holding by far is megabank JPMorgan Chase (JPM<\/strong>), rated 5 (Strong Buy) with a 3.6% portfolio weight\u2014at least 50% higher than any other position. Two other notable VTV<\/strong> constituents rated 4 (Buy) are Johnson & Johnson (JNJ<\/strong>) and Bank of America (BAC<\/strong>). Ten other Strong Buy stocks are currently held by VTV<\/strong>. The five largest include Micron Technology (MU<\/strong>), Newmont Corporation (NEM<\/strong>), Citigroup (C<\/strong>), Estee Lauder (EL<\/strong>), and Fox News A-Class Shares (FOXA<\/strong>). Dollar Tree (DLTR<\/strong>) is another notable 5-rated holding.<\/p>\n

All of this has occurred during VTV<\/strong>\u2019s rise from a 1-rated ETF six weeks ago to maintaining a 3-rated, much improved profile today. If the long-anticipated rotation from growth to value is finally underway, VTV<\/strong> and its key holdings could benefit further. Supporting this thesis is one value-focused ETF now rated 4 (Buy): the First Trust Dorsey Wright Momentum & Value ETF (DVLU<\/strong>), which tracks 50 undervalued NASDAQ U.S. Large Mid Cap stocks exhibiting high relative strength. Investors should note its 60-basis-point expense ratio\u201415 times higher than VTV<\/strong>\u2019s 4 basis points.<\/p>\n

This emerging rotation narrative could shift quickly if weekend reports prove true that the Trump Administration may temporarily pause import tariffs on key consumer goods ahead of the holiday season. Should this materialize, technology-related growth companies may benefit the most\u2014potentially disrupting or reversing the recent value-favoring trend. As always, the devil is in the details.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

www.ValuEngine.com<\/a>\u00a0(Valuengine, Inc) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available to analyze over 4,200 US stocks, 700 US ETFs, and 1,000 Canadian stocks. Fair market valuations, forecasted target prices, and buy\/hold\/sell recommendations are updated DAILY.<\/p>\n

www.ValuEngineCapital.com<\/a>\u00a0(ValuEngine Capital Management, LLC) is a Registered Investment Advisory firm that trades a variety of different portfolios based upon the ValuEngine.com research models. Each portfolio has a different risk\/return profile, so clients can be placed in strategies that fit their specific investment needs.<\/p>\n

BLOG.VALUENGINE.COM\u00a0<\/a>for the full history of ValuEngine.com financial blog posts<\/p>\n

____________________________________________________________________________<\/p>\n

Existing subscribers alert: ValuEngine has launched a completely redesigned and new website! Please check it out at\u00a0www.Valu<\/a>E<\/a>ngine.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Free trials available for new subscribers. Over 4,200 stocks and 600 ETFs covered.<\/p>\n

Full Two Week Free Trial\u00a0HERE<\/a><\/p>\n

5,000 stocks, 600 ETFs, 16 sector groups, and 140 industries updated on\u00a0www.ValuEngine.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Financial Advisory Services based on ValuEngine research available through\u00a0www.ValuEngineCapital.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Weekly Market Recap – Week Ending November 14, 2025 The past week saw a clear defensive tilt across major ETFs, with only a handful of pockets showing resilience. Utilities, consumer staples, and select dividend strategies managed modest gains, while growth-heavy benchmarks such as QQQM and technology-sector ETFs slipped more than 2%. At the individual-stock level, … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[130,1,39],"tags":[1002,2732,1004,2671,2129,2813,2821,2814,2719,1089,2819,1760,1761,1719,2820,1776,1731,2316,1834,2815,2817,59,2816,2182,2804,374,2818,1779,2582,2006,1510,1911,1938,1748,2767,2769,2801,1644,195,2709,928,2812,28,1659,63,2356,2462,2403,946,2121,2085,2277,1849,2279,1887,1814,2707,1900,2276,2278],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3668"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3668"}],"version-history":[{"count":18,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3668\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3688,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3668\/revisions\/3688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3668"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3668"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.valuengine.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3668"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}