With Price Surge, Analysts Hope For Higher Oil Prices In 2018

For today’s bulletin, we take a look at top-five stock lists from the Oil/Energy Sector. We provide a link to download a FREE STOCK REPORT on one of our leaders in the sector, Braskem SA $BAK. Because overvaluation has crept up again, we now have another Valuation Watch.

VALUATION WATCH: Because overvalued stocks now make up 62.52% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 25.42% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more, we have once again re-insitituted a Valuation Watch. Fifteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued.
One of the hallmarks of the past few years has been relatively low energy prices. The US benefits from massive production of oil and gas due to fracking technology and new sources of energy. However, that may be coming to an end where oil is concerned.

Analysts note that prices have surged recently. Today, we saw futures rising to @62/barrel in the US and Brent crude oil futures went up more and are now running @ $69/barrel. Analysts believe that development across the globe will drive prices higher as more people reach for–and achieve a middle-class lifestyle and thus demand for energy increases as well. In fact, some analysts are now predicting oil prices in the range of $80/barrel for 2018.

Of course, higher crude has been promised for years now, and we have not seen anything like the prices which existed prior to the Bush recession and subsequent economic crisis. Low energy prices are one of the reasons we have had issues with deflation during the ensuing decad despite the cries for higher interest rates from central banks.

Below, we present the latest data on Oil/Energy stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. Top- five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria–share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares.

Top-Five Oil/Energy Stocks–Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation (%) Last 12-M Return (%)
BAK BRASKEM SA 28.1 85.56% 28.25%
SDLP SEADRILL PTNRS 3.95 -31.74% N/A
PBFX PBF LOGISTICS 21.45 1.80% 6.45%
ORIG OCEAN RIG UDW 27.96 N/A -99.85%
UPL ULTRA PETRO COR 8.54 -63.20% N/A

Top-Five Oil/Energy Stocks–Momentum

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation (%) Last 12-M Return (%)
IO ION GEOPHYSICAL 22.3 N/A 294.69%
TGS TRANSPORTADORA 22.21 N/A 132.32%
EC ECOPETROL- ADR 16.87 N/A 81.40%
ALDW ALON USA PTNRS 18.1 N/A 79.74%
CVI CVR ENERGY INC 39.29 N/A 77.62%

Top-Five Oil/Energy Stocks–Composite Score

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation (%) Last 12-M Return (%)
ANDV ANDEAVOR CORP 115.99 -2.26% 42.01%
SEP SPECTRA EGY PTR 41.74 -16.36% -11.36%
BAK BRASKEM SA 28.1 85.56% 28.25%
ERF ENERPLUS CORP 10 -30.29% 12.61%
BWP BOARDWALK PIPLN 12.97 -44.53% -29.20%

Top-Five Oil/Energy Stocks–Most Overvalued

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation (%) Last 12-M Return (%)
ESV ENSCO PLC 7.08 300.00% -39.49%
BAS BASIC EGY SVCS 26.28 300.00% -28.02%
HOS HORNBECK OFFSHR 3.85 275.89% N/A
DO DIAMOND OFFSHOR 19.84 131.57% 3.44%
KEG KEY ENERGY SVCS 15.38 115.92% -57.17%

For today’s bulletin, we take a look at our leader in the oil industry in terms of short-term forecast return, Braskem SA (BAK). Braskem is the largest petrochemical operation in Latin America and among the five largest private companies in Brazil. With industrial facilities located in Alagoas, Bahia, Sao Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul, Braskem produces primary base petrochemicals such as ethylene, propylene, benzene, caprolactam, DMT and termoplastic resins (polypropylene, polyethylene, PVC and PET) gas and GLP.

ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on Braskem SA for 2018-01-09. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that Braskem SA has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Company Size.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Braskem SA (BAK) from the link below.

ValuEngine Forecast
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month 28.57 1.21%
3-Month 29.35 3.98%
6-Month 30.45 7.85%
1-Year 32.35 14.60%
2-Year 40.33 42.87%
3-Year 45.51 61.21%
Valuation & Rankings
Valuation 86.42% overvalued Valuation Rank(?) 3
1-M Forecast Return 1.21% 1-M Forecast Return Rank 100
12-M Return 28.85% Momentum Rank(?) 72
Sharpe Ratio 0.31 Sharpe Ratio Rank(?) 64
5-Y Avg Annual Return 13.53% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank 76
Volatility 43.58% Volatility Rank(?) 38
Expected EPS Growth -40.09% EPS Growth Rank(?) 5
Market Cap (billions) 11.25 Size Rank 89
Trailing P/E Ratio 6.43 Trailing P/E Rank(?) 98
Forward P/E Ratio 10.73 Forward P/E Ratio Rank 82
PEG Ratio n/a PEG Ratio Rank n/a
Price/Sales 0.75 Price/Sales Rank(?) 78
Market/Book 8.36 Market/Book Rank(?) 19
Beta 1.13 Beta Rank 32
Alpha 0.01 Alpha Rank 61

 

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR BRASKEM SA (BAK) REPORT BY CLICKING HERE

 

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ValuEngine Capital Management LLC is a Registered Investment Advisory (RIA) firm that trades client accounts using ValuEngine’s award-winning stock research.
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