Crude Slump Threatens Stocks?

For today’s bulletin, we discuss falling crude oil prices and take a look at Braskem SA $BAK and provide a link to download a FREE STOCK REPORT on the company

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 57.46% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 21.46% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Twelve sectors are calculated to be overvalued.


It’s been a while, but today we have some market issues related to the price of crude oil. A glut of oil in the US has resulted in a price decline that is dragging down broader indices. Concurrent with the report on the crude glut is other news that gasoline inventories have also increased.

One often thinks that lower energy prices will benefit the economy overall as well as stocks, but that is not always the case. They can act as a leading indicator for economic growth and also warn of difficulties in important oil producing regions across the US. Over the past few years we have seen market declines when crude oil declines, a correlation that could spell trouble moving forward.

Below, we present the latest data on Oil/Energy stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. Top- five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria–share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares.

Top-Five Oil/Energy Stocks–Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation (%) Last 12-M Return (%)
BAK BRASKEM SA 20.86 16.23% 71.69%
SXCP SUNCOKE ENERGY 17.2 -0.13% 48.28%
ARLP ALLIANCE RES 21.55 -17.99% 35.03%
AHGP ALLIANCE HLDGS 27.08 -21.79% 35.74%

Top-Five Oil/Energy Stocks–Momentum

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation (%) Last 12-M Return (%)
ARCH ARCH COAL INC 70.02 N/A 18768.23%
REN RESOLUTE ENERGY 41.88 -11.20% 1220.09%
LLEX LILIS ENERGY 5.03 N/A 465.17%
AMRS AMYRIS INC 3.6 48.48% 458.14%

Top-Five Oil/Energy Stocks–Composite Score

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation (%) Last 12-M Return (%)
AHGP ALLIANCE HLDGS 27.08 -21.79% 35.74%
ARLP ALLIANCE RES 21.55 -17.99% 35.03%
PBR PETROBRAS-ADR C 8.57 1.36% 37.78%
BAK BRASKEM SA 20.86 16.23% 71.69%
CLD CLOUD PEAK EGY 3.25 -61.50% 43.81%

Top-Five Oil/Energy Stocks–Most Overvalued

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation (%) Last 12-M Return (%)
EPE EP ENERGY CP-A 4.18 300.00% -25.36%
SMLP SUMMIT MIDSTRM 23.05 173.45% 2.76%
EXTN EXTERRAN CORP 27.52 117.16% 111.37%
ATW ATWOOD OCEANICS 9.96 99.03% -13.39%
ESV ENSCO PLC 6.25 83.59% -41.04%

Our top ranked Oil/Energy stock today is Braskem SA (BAK) figures as the largest petrochemical operation in Latin America and among the five largest private companies in Brazil. With industrial facilities located in Alagoas, Bahia, Sao Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul, Braskem produces primary base petrochemicals such as ethylene, propylene, benzene, caprolactam, DMT and termoplastic resins (polypropylene, polyethylene, PVC and PET) gas and GLP.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on BRASKEM SA for 2017-06-06. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that BRASKEM SA has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Momentum.

Below is today’s data on Braskem SA (BAK):

ValuEngine Forecast
1-Month 21.16 1.43%
3-Month 21.25 1.86%
6-Month 22.33 7.07%
1-Year 24.45 17.21%
2-Year 26.21 25.62%
3-Year 28.38 36.05%
Valuation & Rankings
Valuation 16.23% overvalued Valuation Rank(?) 27
1-M Forecast Return 1.43% 1-M Forecast Return Rank 100
12-M Return 71.69% Momentum Rank(?) 92
Sharpe Ratio 0.28 Sharpe Ratio Rank(?) 64
5-Y Avg Annual Return 12.19% 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank 74
Volatility 42.97% Volatility Rank(?) 38
Expected EPS Growth -52.23% EPS Growth Rank(?) 5
Market Cap (billions) 8.32 Size Rank 87
Trailing P/E Ratio 5.60 Trailing P/E Rank(?) 99
Forward P/E Ratio 11.72 Forward P/E Ratio Rank 76
PEG Ratio n/a PEG Ratio Rank n/a
Price/Sales 0.61 Price/Sales Rank(?) 80
Market/Book 16.94 Market/Book Rank(?) 9
Beta 1.26 Beta Rank 26
Alpha 0.40 Alpha Rank 91


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