This week, we provide top-five ranked VE data for our transportation stocks. We take a look at our latest data on Assured Guaranty Ltd $AGO. We have ended our Valuation Watch.
VALUATION: Overvalued stocks now make up 55.53% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 21.16% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Thirteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued. Overvaluation has now dropped into “normal” range and we no longer operate under a Valuation Watch.
ValuEngine Index Overview
| Index | Week Open | Friday AM | Change | % Change | YTD |
| DJIA | 21444.75 | 21394.76 | -49.99 | -0.23% | 8.26% |
| NASDAQ | 6196.85 | 6265.25 | 68.4 | 1.10% | 16.39% |
| RUSSELL 2000 | 1407.07 | 1414.78 | 7.71 | 0.55% | 4.25% |
| S&P 500 | 2442.55 | 2438.3 | -4.25 | -0.17% | 8.91% |
ValuEngine Market Overview
| Summary of VE Stock Universe | |
| Stocks Undervalued | 44.47% |
| Stocks Overvalued | 55.53% |
| Stocks Undervalued by 20% | 21.19% |
| Stocks Overvalued by 20% | 21.16% |
ValuEngine Sector Overview
| Sector | Change | MTD | YTD | Valuation | Last 12-MReturn | P/E Ratio |
| Multi-Sector Conglomerates | -0.48% | 0.33% | 7.52% | 15.36% overvalued | 12.77% | 20.22 |
| Computer and Technology | 0.22% | -0.20% | 17.36% | 12.57% overvalued | 24.30% | 31.49 |
| Aerospace | -0.35% | -1.13% | 4.38% | 11.70% overvalued | 30.86% | 21.86 |
| Utilities | -0.68% | -0.65% | 7.29% | 7.18% overvalued | 16.12% | 24.51 |
| Industrial Products | -0.58% | 0.88% | 6.30% | 7.07% overvalued | 21.67% | 23.88 |
| Finance | -0.58% | 1.51% | 4.37% | 6.49% overvalued | 15.92% | 17.87 |
| Consumer Discretionary | 0.10% | 1.00% | 8.86% | 4.38% overvalued | 18.57% | 26.33 |
| Construction | -0.53% | 2.59% | 10.89% | 3.67% overvalued | 17.77% | 21.93 |
| Consumer Staples | -0.20% | 0.35% | 4.94% | 3.17% overvalued | 11.56% | 26.20 |
| Business Services | -0.33% | -0.72% | 5.49% | 1.14% overvalued | 6.96% | 24.82 |
| Medical | 0.71% | 4.37% | 15.66% | 0.83% overvalued | 10.99% | 29.27 |
| Auto-Tires-Trucks | -0.04% | 2.19% | 13.17% | 0.21% overvalued | 24.05% | 14.45 |
| Transportation | -0.59% | 2.13% | 5.95% | 0.09% overvalued | 13.67% | 21.78 |
| Basic Materials | -0.20% | -1.41% | 2.98% | 5.74% undervalued | 14.35% | 24.90 |
| Retail-Wholesale | -0.69% | -2.24% | 0.09% | 8.74% undervalued | 3.67% | 23.01 |
| Oils-Energy | -1.37% | -4.72% | -9.48% | 18.55% undervalued | -6.89% | 28.01 |
Sector Talk–Transportation
Below, we present the latest data on Transportation stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. Top- five lists are provided for each category. We applied some basic liquidity criteria–share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares.
Top-Five Transportation Stocks–Short-Term Forecast Returns
| Ticker | Name | Mkt Price | Valuation (%) | Last 12-M Return (%) |
| AAL | American Airlines | 48.43 | 23.48 | 61.33 |
| UAL | United Airlines | 77.59 | 45.03 | 72.96 |
| GBX | GREENBRIER COS | 46.3 | 75.09 | 61.61 |
| HA | Hawaiian Airlines | 47.9 | -5.45 | 31.59 |
| GATX | GATX CORP | 61.59 | 6.80 | 35.39 |
Top-Five Transportation Stocks–Momentum
| Ticker | Name | Mkt Price | Valuation (%) | Last 12-M Return (%) |
| CAI | CAI INTL INC | 23.18 | -20.09 | 195.66 |
| GOL | GOL LINHAS-ADR | 11.25 | -53.52 | 176.07 |
| SBLK | STAR BULK CARRS | 8.61 | -71.06 | 160.12 |
| TRTN | TRITON INTL LTD | 33.12 | n/a | 146.61 |
| XPO | XPO LOGISTICS | 62.95 | 46.26 | 136.12 |
Top-Five Transportation Stocks–Most Overvalued
| Ticker | Name | Mkt Price | Valuation (%) | Last 12-M Return (%) |
| EGLE | EAGLE BULK SHPG | 4.37 | 300.00 | -55.08 |
| RRTS | ROADRUNNER TRAN | 6.77 | 165.51 | -11.73 |
| GBX | GREENBRIER COS | 46.3 | 75.09 | 61.61 |
| SWFT | SWIFT TRANSPORT | 25.86 | 68.73 | 64.29 |
| KNX | KNIGHT TRANS | 36.15 | 56.99 | 35.60 |
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Assured Guaranty Ltd.(AGO) is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to the United States and international public finance, including infrastructure, and structured finance markets. It applies its credit underwriting judgment, risk management skills and capital markets experience primarily to offer financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. It guarantees obligations issued principally in the United States and the United Kingdom and also guarantees obligations issued in other countries and regions, including Australia and Western Europe. It also provides other forms of insurance that are in line with its risk profile and benefit from its underwriting experience.
VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on Assured Guaranty for 2017-06-21. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that Assured Guaranty has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Momentum.
You can download a free copy of detailed report on Assured Guaranty Ltd.(AGO) from the link below.
Read our Complete Rating and Forecast Report HERE.
| ValuEngine Forecast | ||
| Target Price* |
Expected Return |
|
|---|---|---|
| 1-Month | 41.76 | 1.25% |
| 3-Month | 41.37 | 0.32% |
| 6-Month | 42.89 | 4.00% |
| 1-Year | 47.45 | 15.07% |
| 2-Year | 45.26 | 9.75% |
| 3-Year | 46.51 | 12.79% |
| Valuation & Rankings | |||
| Valuation | n/a | Valuation Rank(?) | n/a |
| 1-M Forecast Return | 1.25% | 1-M Forecast Return Rank | 100 |
| 12-M Return | 62.36% | Momentum Rank(?) | 90 |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.86 | Sharpe Ratio Rank(?) | 87 |
| 5-Y Avg Annual Return | 23.70% | 5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank | 91 |
| Volatility | 27.54% | Volatility Rank(?) | 56 |
| Expected EPS Growth | -44.55% | EPS Growth Rank(?) | 5 |
| Market Cap (billions) | 6.68 | Size Rank | 85 |
| Trailing P/E Ratio | 9.37 | Trailing P/E Rank(?) | 94 |
| Forward P/E Ratio | 16.90 | Forward P/E Ratio Rank | 50 |
| PEG Ratio | n/a | PEG Ratio Rank | n/a |
| Price/Sales | 3.41 | Price/Sales Rank(?) | 32 |
| Market/Book | 1.01 | Market/Book Rank(?) | 79 |
| Beta | 1.68 | Beta Rank | 16 |
| Alpha | 0.14 | Alpha Rank | 76 |
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