American Express Is New Top DOW Stock for ValuEngine

For today’s bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the Dow Jones Industrials.

VALUATION WARNING: Overvalued stocks now make up 69.77% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 34.68% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Sixteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

 

ValuEngine tracks more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities.  When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient–an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.

We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.

We can use our data to track individual stocks, industries, sectors, and indices. For today’s bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the Dow Jones Industrials. The companies listed below represent the top stocks within the index. They are presented below according to their one-month forecast gain.

Since we last presented the top Dow picks in January, we see little change. Our turnover is only ten percent. We see Merck this month in ninth spot and it has replaced Verizon in our top-ten list.

We do see some change however, with American Express taking over the top spot from JPMorgan Chase. American Express moved up from fourth position to first while JPMorgan Chase fell from first to third. Other declining stocks include IBM and United Health.

The only other stock–besides our leader–to improve its position this month was Intel Corp.

Companies that held their positions this month are Goldman Sachs, Apple, Cisco Systems, and Traveler’s.

We have no STRONG BUY-rated stocks in the DOW right now. Our entire top-ten list consists of BUY-rated equities with the exception of MRK and TRV.

Ticker
Company Name
Market Price
Valuation
Last 12-M Retrn
1-M Forecast Retn
1-Yr Forecast Retn
P/E Ratio
Sector Name
Jan. 12th, 2016
AXP
AMER EXPRESS CO
79.86
2.01%
43.56%
0.90%
10.81%
14.13
Finance
JPM
GS
GOLDMAN SACHS
251.73
28.20%
69.18%
0.89%
10.63%
14.69
Finance
GS
JPM
JPMORGAN CHASE
91.06
31.19%
55.47%
0.76%
9.05%
14.55
Finance
IBM
IBM
INTL BUS MACH
181.15
25.03%
35.42%
0.63%
7.56%
13.32
Computer and Technology
AXP
INTC
INTEL CORP
36.07
5.34%
22.90%
0.59%
7.12%
13.08
Computer and Technology
UNH
AAPL
APPLE INC
137.11
24.18%
41.53%
0.58%
6.92%
16.35
Computer and Technology
AAPL
CSCO
CISCO SYSTEMS
34.09
14.70%
28.01%
0.47%
5.69%
15.78
Computer and Technology
CSCO
UNH
UNITEDHEALTH GP
160.57
7.56%
32.41%
0.39%
4.66%
19.65
Medical
VZ
MRK
MERCK & CO INC
65.29
22.43%
28.60%
0.31%
3.72%
17.38
Medical
INTC
TRV
TRAVELERS COS
121.9
16.48%
11.48%
0.27%
3.30%
11.98
Finance
TRV

NOTE: New stocks are in BOLD, old stocks that have moved up the list are in GREEN, old stocks that have declined in position are in RED, and stocks which have retained their position are in CAPS.

Below is today’s data on American Express (AXP):

American Express Company (AXP) is primarily engaged in the business of providing travel related services, financial advisory services and international banking services throughout the world. American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. provides a variety of products and services, including, global network services, the American Express Card, the Optima Card and other consumer and corporate lending products, stored value products, and several others.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on American Express for 2017-02-22. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that American Express has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and P/E Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on American Express (AXP) from the link below.

ValuEngine Forecast
Target
Price*
Expected
Return
1-Month
80.58 0.90%
3-Month
80.49 0.79%
6-Month
81.33 1.84%
1-Year
88.49 10.81%
2-Year
77.26 -3.26%
3-Year
73.55 -7.90%
Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
2.01% overvalued
Valuation Rank(?)
67
1-M Forecast Return
0.90%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
96
12-M Return
43.56%
Momentum Rank(?)
72
Sharpe Ratio
0.41
Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)
74
5-Y Avg Annual Return
8.42%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
69
Volatility
20.57%
Volatility Rank(?)
70
Expected EPS Growth
1.53%
EPS Growth Rank(?)
23
Market Cap (billions)
81.70
Size Rank
99
Trailing P/E Ratio
14.13
Trailing P/E Rank(?)
82
Forward P/E Ratio
13.92
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
68
PEG Ratio
9.21
PEG Ratio Rank
4
Price/Sales
2.42
Price/Sales Rank(?)
43
Market/Book
38.90
Market/Book Rank(?)
4
Beta
1.24
Beta Rank
28
Alpha
0.16
Alpha Rank
71

DOWNLOAD A FREE SAMPLE OF OUR REPORT ON AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) BY CLICKING HERE


ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day. 

Leave a Comment