08/24/2026 ValuEngine Weekly Market Summary & Commentary

Weekly Market Recap – Week Ending Aug 21, 2026

U.S. equity markets moved lower this week, with weakness led by technology, Industrials, Utilities, and broader growth-oriented benchmarks. The NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) declined 2.41%, while the S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) fell 1.38%, pressured by sharp losses in Technology (XLK), Industrials (XLI), and Utilities (XLU). In contrast, Health Care (XLV) delivered a strong 4.33% gain, while Energy (XLE), Materials (XLB), and Dividend Equity (SCHD) also posted positive returns, suggesting a selective rotation into defensive, commodity-linked, and income-oriented areas. Stock-specific momentum was strongest in precious metals names, led by AngloGold Ashanti (AU), Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), and Gold Fields (GFI), while selected U.S. names such as Airbnb (ABNB), Affirm Holdings (AFRM), and Analog Devices (ADI) showed more moderate 30-day gains.

Trade ValuEngine supported portfolio strategies, www.ValuEngineCapital.com

In the below tables we use major ETF’s as a proxy for some major indexes as well as each of the sector groups into which we divide the overall markets. Tracking these over time provides a more defined picture of the US markets than simply tracking major indexes. This is followed by notable individual stock movers over the past month, and finally our full strategy outlook.

Ticker Name VE Rating Last Week’s Close Price Weekly Change
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 5 301.01 -2.41%
SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF 2 34.52 1.71%
SPYM State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF 4 91.39 -1.38%
VB Vanguard Morningstar Small Cap ETF 3 309.29 -1.46%
XLB State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF 2 52.54 1.90%
XLC State Street Com Svc Sel Sec SPDR ETF 2 112.95 -1.37%
XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF 4 61.91 2.79%
XLF State Street Financial Sel Sec SPDR ETF 2 58.16 -1.17%
XLI State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF 3 186.51 -3.36%
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF 5 190.01 -3.53%
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Sel Sect SPDR ETF 1 86.09 -0.12%
XLRE State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF 1 45.27 -0.42%
XLU State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF 1 44.31 -3.48%
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF 3 167.37 4.33%
XLY State Street Consumer Disc Sel Sect SPDR ETF 1 118.2 -0.15%

Free Trial: Direct Access to ValuEngine Research on over 5,000 stocks and 700 ETFs HERE

 

Top 3 Stock Performers (Global)

Ticker Name VE Rating Last Close Price Price 30 Days Ago Monthly Difference
AU Anglogold Ashanti PLC 5 121.22 80.48 50.62%
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd 5 216.06 145.96 48.03%
GFI Gold Fields Ltd 5 47.81 32.91 45.27%

Top 3 Stock Performers (US)

Ticker Name VE Rating Last Close Price Price 30 Days Ago Monthly Difference
MRNA Modarna Inc 5 138.82 55.63 149.54%
U Unity Software Inc 4 46.41 30.44 52.46%
NEM Newmont Corporation 5 131.09 93.47 40.25%

Current ValuEngine reports on all covered 5000+ stocks and ETFs can be viewed HERE

 

Strategy Note

The profound structural shift in the US stock market in 2026 in the past 12 weeks continues.  Within the US, investors are shifting money from large-cap growth stocks to smaller cap stocks while looking for value.  These movements are also reflected in the 12-month and year-to-date performance numbers.
One significant trend is that large-cap US equities are facing increasingly stiff competition from international and emerging markets stocks.  In fact, year-to-date (YTD) performance through August 21, 2026, reveals that even though the core S&P 500 tracking fund State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) has posted a healthy gain of 12.3%, small-caps via the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) have surged a more impressive 21.9%. Concurrently, a widening valuation gap and a cyclical correction in the US Dollar have catalyzed major out-performance in international funds like VEU and EEM. These are leading the S&P 500 by a notable margin. The table below supports the story well:

 

ETF Ticker Fund Name / Focus YTD Return (Proxy Baseline) Past 12 Weeks Return
SPYM SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF +12.34% +6.59%
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF (Small Cap) +21.86% +8.40%
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF +14.20% -3.36%
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF +15.10% -2.80%
VTV Vanguard Value ETF +9.80% +4.10%
MDY SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF +8.50% +3.40%
VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF +24.50% +7.20%
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF +27.10% +8.90%

 

While the broader indices show steady trends, alpha is heavily concentrated in specific corporate narratives.  The most recent development was in the pharmaceutical industry and shot Moderna (MRNA) up 80+%.  Despite the tech selloff, SanDisk (SNDK) and Dell Technologies (DELL) are both holding up nicely. Year-to-date, they’ve been up 160% and 75% respectively.  All three are rated 5 (Strong buy).  Other US Stocks that are among the highest of our current recommendations include: Lumentum Holdings (LITE); Palantir (PAL); and Ciena Corp. (CIEN).  All are in Computers & Technology.  Top US stocks that are in other sectors include: Idaho-based Coeur Mining (CDE); A/C-Heating firm Comfort Systems (FIX); Restauranteur Brinker International (EAT); and steel firm Carpenter Tech (CRS). All four of these are classified as midcap stocks by Morningstar.

Another major structural change in 2026 is that energy-linked commodity exchange-traded products are also faring better than the benchmark index ETFs.  Futures-based United States Oil Fund (USO) has risen 95% while the more diversified but still energy-heavy and futures-based iShares Goldman Sachs Commodity-Indexed Trust rose 43%.  Geopolitical stress and rampant tariffs is the major underlying reason that Both VEU and EEM, representing developed and emerging international markets, have greatly outperformed SPYM for US-based investors.

In fact, the macroeconomic narrative of 2026 is deeply tied to the cyclical decline of the US Dollar. The “safe-haven” currency has languished near multi-decade lows against a basket of top global currencies.  The Euro has steadily advanced, with the European Central Bank referencing an exchange rate climbing to $1.17, pushing the greenback down roughly 7-9% YTD.  The dollar has fared even worse against the currency of our neighbor to the South.  Resilient emerging market capital flows have boosted the Mexican Peso by over 11%. The chief strategist of most major firms do not see these trends ending any time soon.  Wall Street consensus has officially shifted global diversification from a fringe macro view into a primary portfolio requirement. Prominent strategists actively advising clients to reduce heavy domestic weightings in favor of international exposure include: Morgan Stanley (MS); Bank of America (BAC); First Eagle and LPL Financial (LPLA).

Although ValuEngine does not rate foreign ordinary stocks, we do rate many ADRs.  Holders of ADRs get unhedged returns, meaning that relative strengthening of the foreign company’s underlying currencies enhances returns for US investors.  Top-rated ADRs in diverse industry sectors now include: AngloGold (AU); Colombia-based Grupo Cibest (CIB) and Chinese tech provider Lenovo (LNVGY).

 

www.ValuEngine.com (ValuEngine, Inc) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available to analyze over 4,200 US stocks, 700 US ETFs, and 1,000 Canadian stocks. Fair market valuations, forecast target prices, and buy/hold/sell recommendations are updated DAILY.

www.ValuEngineCapital.com (ValuEngine Capital Management, LLC) is a Registered Investment Advisory firm that trades a variety of different portfolios based upon the ValuEngine.com research models. Each portfolio has a different risk/return profile, so clients can be placed in strategies that fit their specific investment needs.

BLOG.VALUENGINE.COM for the full history of ValuEngine.com financial blog posts

____________________________________________________________________________

5,000 stocks, 600 ETFs, 16 sector groups, and 140 industries updated on www.ValuEngine.com

Full Two Week Free Trial HERE

Financial Advisory Services based on ValuEngine research and Portfolios available through www.ValuEngineCapital.com