2022 Market Forecasts: Sell in May and Go Away?

A common toast has been: “May 2022 be better than 2021!”  However, where the US Stock Market is concerned, most of us would gratefully accept a repeat of 2021’s returns.   The ETF reports on ValuEngine.com for funds that follow market benchmarks provide a side benefit in writing market analyses.  They are a window to implicit … Read more

BEWARE of BITO, the “ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF”

This is a departure from my usual blog, focusing on the newly launched ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO). Most ETFs analyzed in my blog articles are covered by ValuEngine with a handful of exceptions. ValuEngine does not cover any ETFs that do not hold stocks.  Moreover being newly launched, our price-based models cannot yet be … Read more

How Have Major Declines Affected S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 Investors?

In the wake of the Chinese Evergrande collapse, the S&P 500 shed more than 2% last Monday.  Analysts speculated that Chinese real estate contagion might be especially detrimental to Apple, Google and Netflix, all purported to have huge exposures to China. In fact, two major investment banks issued predictions last week that the market would … Read more

Seven Simple Rules for Owning ETFs and Exchange-Traded Products

Since the beginning of this month traditionally marks back-to-school time for many, I thought the timing was appropriate for this article on basic investor education with a focus on ETFs and similarly traded instruments.  The following seven actions reflect practices, many quite common, I’ve seen executed often that I consider major mistakes.  In fact, I strongly … Read more

Inside Bank and Financial ETFs: How Do They Compare?

Two other analysts whose blogs I monitor wrote in their midyear reports that they were bullish on bank and financial ETFs. My analysis using ValuEngine data below differs significantly. One analyst singled out KRE and the other’s favorite was FTXO.  They cited that the P/B and P/E ratios were considerably lower than the market averages.  … Read more

Mid-Year Market Forecasts

The ETF reports on ValuEngine for funds that follow market benchmarks provide a side benefit in writing market analyses.  They allow me to discuss the implicit forecast for 1-, 3-, 6- and 12-month forecasts our models are making for each benchmark’s ETF portfolio.  This is because the ratings and projections combine bottom-up constituent analysis with … Read more

Drill, Baby, Drill? Oil ETFs

For each blog article, I scan through relevant groups of ETFs that relate to possible investment strategies.  Three ETFs from iShares by BlackRock stood out to me this week: IEO, IEZ, IYE.  All have ValuEngine’s strongest rating of 5 checks and all have fared very well in price performance during the past 6 months since … Read more

Defensive Sector ETFs for Turbulent Times

This week’s featured US equity ETFs, all focused on the US Consumer Staples Sector, are projected to outperform the market going forward. The similarities with last week’s blog end there.  These all get a more modest 4 (buy) recommendation.  Risk versus safety differentiate the last blog from this one. My last blog entry profiled ETF … Read more

Medical Miracles: Inside Biotech ETFs

The events of the past twelve months focused a lot of attention on amazing and life-altering developments made possible by the global biotech industry.  Although the major names we heard were Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson and Moderna, only the last was where the original research and patents that produced the CoVid-19 vaccines were developed.  … Read more

Inside Value ETFs

The market has been in a value phase the past 6 months which has been well documented by others.  The regime change was heartily welcomed by almost all managers of value funds, both active and passive. This is because the previous 13 years have been relentlessly difficult for value managers in terms of relative performance … Read more