September Stagnation Marked by Record-Low Yields, High Duration Risk and High Valuations

Strategy Note September 21, 2026 As the US stock market continues to endure September stagnation, we focus on a risk factor few strategists have talked about among headline-grabbing events. Over the first nine months of 2026, we have witnessed a fascinating macro paradox: a surging US stock market decoupling completely from the bond market.  The … Read more

May 26 2026 Reflections: Time to Lighten Up Exposures?

The current economic doldrums have most investors concerned about a potential market downturn. The bottom line concern many economists and consultants have expressed lately is stagflation, the dreaded combination of flat economic growth with inflation that gets higher and higher indefinitely. We may be approaching a time where that concern becomes so widely held that … Read more

Gold Continues to Outshine Equites

This fact may surprise quite a few investors. During the period from January 1, 2000, through August 31, 2025, gold bullion delivered significantly higher returns than the S&P 500. Throw in last week where the S&P 500 Index rose 0.3% compared to 4% for GLD, the most-traded gold ETF, and gold’s outperformance widens further. However, … Read more