September Stagnation Marked by Record-Low Yields, High Duration Risk and High Valuations

Strategy Note September 21, 2026 As the US stock market continues to endure September stagnation, we focus on a risk factor few strategists have talked about among headline-grabbing events. Over the first nine months of 2026, we have witnessed a fascinating macro paradox: a surging US stock market decoupling completely from the bond market.  The … Read more

May 26 2026 Reflections: Time to Lighten Up Exposures?

The current economic doldrums have most investors concerned about a potential market downturn. The bottom line concern many economists and consultants have expressed lately is stagflation, the dreaded combination of flat economic growth with inflation that gets higher and higher indefinitely. We may be approaching a time where that concern becomes so widely held that … Read more

Perspectives on Rotations Into Value, Small-Cap, Developed and Emerging Markets

After hearing for five years about the valuation bubbles that would cause QQQ and SPY to suffer imminent crashes, net cash flows from major institutions are starting to agree.  Themes of rotation out of large cap US growth stocks and into small cap and/or value stocks and/or international stocks continue to dominate market commentary.  The … Read more

Pinpointing Targets in the Financial Sector

The Finance Sector is ranked as #3 among the 15 we cover for year-ahead returns by the ValuEngine forecast model.  Finance sector stocks and ETFs along with the previously profiled utilities sector are generally perceived as stodgy stocks that are most commonly bought by older investors for dividend yield.  However, that has not been true … Read more